Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. 9 days ago. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. By May 21, 2021 0 . The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. This is the final episode. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Happy holidays! Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. File Upload. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Join. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Whereas Tester . They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They determine whether we live in a free or repres BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Good Sport on Apple Podcasts FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. You can't imitate a worldview. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on!
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